Sunday 2 September 2018

POLL 83 IN WHATUKTHINKS SERIES

The 83rd poll in the WhatUKthinks series was published on Friday showing another sizeable 5% lead for WRONG at 47% - 42%.  This is in response to the question: In hindsight was the UK right or wrong to vote to leave the EU?  See the actual graph and table HERE.  If you remove the don't knows, the result is 53%-47%, exactly the same as last month and other recent polls by ComRes and YouGov, which ask how people would vote if a second referendum was held.

In the last 12 months there have been 42 polls in total with WRONG ahead in 39 of them and two level. RIGHT was in front by 1% just once eight months ago.

The latest figures are:

Total No of polls since August 2016: 83

Polls with RIGHT IN THE LEAD: 28 - (22 in the first 27 polls)

Polls with WRONG IN THE LEAD: 46 - (39 in the last 42 polls)

Even: 9

Last time RIGHT was in the lead: 17th January 2018



Neglecting don't knows support for RIGHT is still at a low of 47% which it has reached on only four previous occasions - all in the last couple of months. I stick by my forecast that we will soon see the first  54% - 46% in this series.