Tuesday 27 November 2018

STEWART JACKSON

Stewart Jackson was a former aid to David Davis - this will give you some idea of the kind of idiot he is - and he writes on Brexit Central (HERE) that parliament cannot prevent no deal because this is the default option. The picture above the article appears to show him laughing hysterically at the thought of it, rather like The Joker in a Batman film.  He looks like a total nut job.

He calls we sensible people 'hardcore remainers' and thinks (rightly) we are trying to thwart Brexit - the 'settled will' of the people as he calls it:

"It was for the very reason that David Davis and I knew that Remainer refuseniks would use every low and disreputable parliamentary trick in the book to disavow the settled will of the electorate in 2016, that during the Committee Stage of the EU Withdrawal Bill earlier this year, DExEU ministers insisted that the exact date of our departure from the European Union (11pm on 29th March 2019) should be enshrined in primary legislation, clearly on the face of the Act".


However, the flaw in his argument is that he assumes a no deal outcome is something a British government - any British government - could actually contemplate. It isn't.

If one accepts this is an unshakeable, immutable truth (and it is), parliament will not have to do anything to prevent it. The government itself will never allow it to happen.

Mr Jackson may also be interested in this item HERE. Labour are threatening to try and amend every Brexit bill put before parliament to make a no deal outcome impossible. They would, for example, put amendments forcing the government to remain in the customs union and a minister is warning they could lose such an amendment by 40 votes. So MPs are not as powerless as he seems to think.

Also, it's a truth in the English constitution that no government can bind a future government - and it follows therefore that it cannot even bind itself. What the government has done, government can undo. Faced with a disaster of its own making parliament can easily change the departure date. In fact much of the drafted legislation simply refers to 'exit day' so delaying or postponing our departure is not difficult.

The government is not prepared for crashing out and neither is industry. If the vote is lost the government will need to move quickly to avoid markets and commerce starting to believe that no deal is even a remote possibility - if this happens before Christmas we would start 2019 going into a sharp recession simply on the suggestion. 

The other morning Kent-onLine (HERE) carried an item about a report prepared for Kent County Council:

"The report, due to be discussed by county councillors this week, describes the impact of changes to customs checks as potentially far-reaching:“It has been suggested that Kent may need to accommodate delays of around 12 hours on the key routes to the UK border and the current best estimate is that Kent will need to cope with holding up to 10,000 HGVs on a routine basis.”

This would almost certainly result in food shortages and would put the Conservatives in opposition for a generation. Only Stewart Jackson would vote for it - and perhaps David Davis, nutjobs both.