The polls are coming thick and fast. Poll 77 in the WhatUKthinks series was published yesterday (HERE) showing WRONG ahead once again by 5%. The last four polls have all shown a 4-5% lead, so very consistent. This is in answer to the question: Was the UK right or wrong to vote to leave the EU. It is the 27th poll this year and the 25th with WRONG in front.
Total No of polls since August 2016: 77
Polls with RIGHT IN THE LEAD: 28 - (22 in the first 27 polls)
Polls with WRONG IN THE LEAD: 40 - (34 in the last 39 polls)
Even: 9
Last time RIGHT was in the lead: 17th January 2018
Looked at annually:
2016 - (from August) 12 polls in total WRONG =1, RIGHT 11
2017 - 39 in total WRONG = 15, RIGHT = 17
2018 - (to date) 27 in total WRONG = 25, RIGHT = 1
At 5% the lead is very comfortably solid. There is a clear and widening gap and by the end of the year as the awful truth emerges and the Tories finally disintegrate, I expect the gap to grow.
At 5% the lead is very comfortably solid. There is a clear and widening gap and by the end of the year as the awful truth emerges and the Tories finally disintegrate, I expect the gap to grow.
