Poll 78 in the WhatUKthinks series was published on Thursday (HERE) showing WRONG ahead once again by 4%. The last five polls have all shown a 4-5% lead, so very consistent. This is in answer to the question: Was the UK right or wrong to vote to leave the EU. It is the 28th poll this year and the 26th with WRONG in front.
Total No of polls since August 2016: 78
Polls with RIGHT IN THE LEAD: 28 - (22 in the first 27 polls)
Polls with WRONG IN THE LEAD: 41 - (35 in the last 40 polls)
Even: 9
Last time RIGHT was in the lead: 17th January 2018
Looked at annually:
2016 - (from August) 12 polls in total WRONG =1, RIGHT 11
2017 - 39 in total WRONG = 15, RIGHT = 17
2018 - (to date) 28 in total WRONG = 26, RIGHT = 1
At 4% the lead is comfortably solid. Looking back to May 2017 it did not seem possible that we could see figures like these. Regularly at 4-5% and even up as high as 7% last January.
We are coming to the business end of the two year Article 50 negotiating period with little achieved, no consensus among pro Brexit MPs about the final deal should look like, the EU keeping to their hard line stance and talk of food, blood and medicine being stockpiled.
Momentum is building to hold a second vote. Is Brexit going to happen? Perhaps it will, but the chances of it not happening are definitely rising.
At 4% the lead is comfortably solid. Looking back to May 2017 it did not seem possible that we could see figures like these. Regularly at 4-5% and even up as high as 7% last January.
We are coming to the business end of the two year Article 50 negotiating period with little achieved, no consensus among pro Brexit MPs about the final deal should look like, the EU keeping to their hard line stance and talk of food, blood and medicine being stockpiled.
Momentum is building to hold a second vote. Is Brexit going to happen? Perhaps it will, but the chances of it not happening are definitely rising.
