Sunday 15 October 2017

THE TIME PROBLEM

Juncker says "day after day" the UK and EU are finding "new problems" and he thinks Brexit will take longer than initially thought (HERE). Brexiteers forgot that the two year period set out in Article 50 is simply an arbitrary time limit and not based on any past experience. In the aftermath of the vote last year several people questioned the two years based on Greenland's experience exiting the EEC (as it then was) in 1985. 

Greenland had about the same population as Croydon and a single issue, fishing, to negotiate. But even so this took three years (HERE). People thought Brexit would take six years (HERE) and as if to make the point, we are now seven months into the two year period with nothing agreed. And amazingly the main stumbling block was not even an issue raised during the campaign. Now Juncker is saying they keep finding other problems that have not been thought about. How many of these might be stumbling blocks?

Essentially we are doing something never before tried by a significant member of the EU and doing it in record time with a hopelessly divided minority government and with no idea of where we are headed. I am not convinced we can do it or that very soon a majority in Britain will even want to do it.