Friday 29 June 2018

POLL 72 IN WHATUKTHINKS SERIES

Well, the 72nd poll in the WhatUKthinks series was published yesterday (HERE) and shows WRONG still ahead and still by 1%. This is in answer to the question: Was the UK right or wrong to vote to leave the EU. It is the 21st poll this year and the 19th with WRONG in front. The encouraging thing is the field work took place just one day after the 71st poll and the results are strikingly similar - just a 2% fall in don't knows and 1% higher for both RIGHT and WRONG.

So the figures are now:

Total No of polls since August 2016: 72

Polls with RIGHT IN THE LEAD: 28 - (22 in the first 27 polls)
Polls with WRONG IN THE LEAD: 35 - (28 in the last 30 polls)

Even: 9

Last time RIGHT was in the lead: 17th January 2018

Looked at annually:

2016 - (from August) 12 polls in total WRONG =1, RIGHT 11
2017 - 39 in total WRONG = 15, RIGHT = 17
2018 - (to date) 22 in total WRONG = 20, RIGHT = 1

Note most of the polls are funded by The Times but I see this one was unknown/unnamed funder. And of those questioned, although 67% thought the government was handling the negotiations fairly or very badly, 42% thought they should continue with the same strategy against 11% who thought they should reconsider and go for a softer Brexit. And only 21% thought there should be a second referendum and just 13% thought we should remain a member of the EU.

It's hard to know how to interpret the result except to say most people think we're making a mistake but want to go ahead with it anyway!