Saturday 25 August 2018

THE DIVISIONS ARE EVEN BIGGER ON THE LEAVE SIDE

You can see the sheer chasm between leave voters and Brexiteers (NOT remainers note) in two reports in this weeks Daily Express. On the one hand, we had a wealthy barrister, Martin Howe QC arguing (HERE) that leaving the EU and trading on WTO terms is perfectly OK will save us billions in tariffs, although even he admits our exporters will face £5 billion of new tariffs on trade with the EU. Howe is talking about reducing tariffs with the rest of the world of course. 

On the other hand, a few days ago, we had Welsh fishermen desperately worried that a no deal exit would destroy their industry in four weeks (HERE).

"The Welsh Fishermen's Association (WFA) warned "people would start going out of business" after just four weeks if Britain leaves without a deal, with new customs checks and restrictions causing severe border delays.

Sion Williams, a lobster and crab fisherman, who works near Nefyn, Gwynedd, in north Wales, said fishermen were increasingly concerned over the possibility of a no deal Brexit, which they claim would severely disrupt the transport of fish and other livestock.

He insisted maintaining access to European markets was vital to UK's fishing sector, and expressed concerns over Britain leaving bloc without an agreement.

He said: "So much has been promised and people's hopes have been raised. I don't think anyone voted for things to get worse"


It's very hard to stop yourself saying oh yes they did - but they didn't realise it.  And the head of the NFU says no deal would be a catastrophe (HERE) also in the Express.

You might think these views are at odds with each other but they are not. A no deal Brexit would be a catastrophe for farmers and fishermen but for barristers it would be great.

There are divisions between leavers and remainers for sure. But remainers are a far more united and cohesive force. The divisions are actually far greater on the leave side which means it is inherently weaker and prone to split.

This is the difficulty for Brexiteers. After Brexit some people might be happy (I doubt if it will be very many) but others will be unhappy. Before Brexit it was exactly the same, only the groups will be different - and there will be even more unhappy people than there ever was before.