Tuesday 18 September 2018

POLLS 85, 86 and 87 IN WHATUKTHINKS SERIES

The WhatUKthinks series of polls asking if in hindsight the decision to leave the EU was right or wrong has increased by three polls in quick succession. The first was one carried out on 13th August by Number Cruncher Politics but only added in the last few days. This showed a 4% lead for WRONG. Then new YouGov polls were added on 5th and 13th September with 3% and 4% leads respectively for WRONG - see HERE.

In the last 12 months there have been 45 polls in total with WRONG ahead in 43 of them. One was even and RIGHT was in front by 1% just once nine months ago.

The latest figures are:

Total No of polls since August 2016: 87

Polls with RIGHT IN THE LEAD: 28 - (22 in the first 27 polls)

Polls with WRONG IN THE LEAD: 50 - (44 in the last 49 polls)

Even: 9

Last time RIGHT was in the lead: 17th January 2018

As the government continues to show almost perfect ineptitude in the negotiations and the number of warnings increase I can only see support for the belief that Brexit has been a catastrophic foreign policy mistake rising.