Now here's something to cheer you up this morning. ComRes have carried out some polling (HERE) for Brexit Express whose published aim is to ensure 'no backsliding on Brexit' (HERE). It was established by City financier Jeremy Hoskings in 2016 and is pushing for a hard Brexit. In fact it claims 'the people' have already spoken, pointing to a petition on the parliamentary website which attracted 608,000 signatures. It doesn't mention the revoke Article 50 petition that garnered over ten times that number!
Anyway, Brexit Express commissioned some polling from ComRes which was published yesterday and embarrassingly it shows the largest ever lead for REMAIN. The poll was mainly about voting intentions for a possible general election but it also covers the referendum question.
See the entire thing HERE
If you go to page 22 and look at table 19, you will see the 1061 respondents were asked this question:
How would you vote if a Referendum to stay in the EU or leave was held tomorrow?
The results were:
Remain 52%
Leave 38%
Would not vote 7%
Prefer not to say 2%
If I omit the would note votes and assume the prefer not to say split equally for leave and remain, the result is 57.6% REMAIN to 42.39% LEAVE, a 15% lead! This is the largest lead ever for remain on ComRes.
I assume for a pro-Brexit organisation it must be a bit disappointing to say the least.
I note also that when the respondents were asked how they voted in 2016 the figures (page 19) shows:
Leave 37%
Remain 34%
Did not vote 27%
This equates, after DNVs are removed, to 52% leave, 48% remain - so a pretty accurate representation of the voters of 2016. But now just 7% say they would not vote. And essentially virtually ALL the DNVs from 2016 would now vote to remain. Does that tell us something? We need to energise those who couldn't be bothered in 2016 - presumably the younger age groups - to get off their backsides next time and VOTE.
On the WhatUKthinks website with the question: In hindsight was the decision to leave the EU right or wrong, we have now reached 116 polls (HERE). Polls 114 and 115 showed a slight narrowing but both had a clear 5% lead for WRONG. The latest poll is back up to a 7% lead for WRONG.
All good stuff, eh?
See the entire thing HERE
If you go to page 22 and look at table 19, you will see the 1061 respondents were asked this question:
How would you vote if a Referendum to stay in the EU or leave was held tomorrow?
The results were:
Remain 52%
Leave 38%
Would not vote 7%
Prefer not to say 2%
If I omit the would note votes and assume the prefer not to say split equally for leave and remain, the result is 57.6% REMAIN to 42.39% LEAVE, a 15% lead! This is the largest lead ever for remain on ComRes.
I assume for a pro-Brexit organisation it must be a bit disappointing to say the least.
I note also that when the respondents were asked how they voted in 2016 the figures (page 19) shows:
Leave 37%
Remain 34%
Did not vote 27%
This equates, after DNVs are removed, to 52% leave, 48% remain - so a pretty accurate representation of the voters of 2016. But now just 7% say they would not vote. And essentially virtually ALL the DNVs from 2016 would now vote to remain. Does that tell us something? We need to energise those who couldn't be bothered in 2016 - presumably the younger age groups - to get off their backsides next time and VOTE.
On the WhatUKthinks website with the question: In hindsight was the decision to leave the EU right or wrong, we have now reached 116 polls (HERE). Polls 114 and 115 showed a slight narrowing but both had a clear 5% lead for WRONG. The latest poll is back up to a 7% lead for WRONG.
All good stuff, eh?
