Sunday 24 May 2020

Cummings is toast

I am surprised this morning to find Dominic Cummings still in post. The revelations yesterday came thick and fast. First it emerged that he broke the lockdown rules by travelling with his wife and son 270 miles to his parents farm in County Durham, apparently when both he and his partner apparently had coronavirus. This was defended by No 10 in an ever-changing and increasingly convoluted and implausible story that became flimsier by the hour. There was a Twitter storm the likes of which I never saw before.

After a day of fevered speculation Nick Robinson at the BBC tweeted:
The worrying thing from Cummings point of view at this point (8:49pm last night) was the lack of support from Tory MPs.  As far as I could see the only supporting tweets (all remarkably similar) came from ministers who were presumably doing it through gritted teeth at gunpoint. Cummings is not a man overburdened with friends.

Even The Spectator (edited by Fraser Nelson, a position once occupied by Johnson himself) published a story by Alex Massie saying Cummings must go.

MI6 Rogue, a Twitter account apparently inside the government somewhere, claimed the whips had lost control (excuse the language):
More revelations then came out that he had done the same 270 mile journey twice.  This was reported both by The Sunday Mirror and The Observer when eye witnesses said they had seen Cummings and his wife in the locality on a different date.

After that, someone else claimed they had seen the pair in Barnard Castle, 30 miles from where Cimmings was supposed to have been staying!

At 11:00 pm Beth Rigby at Sky News Tweeted:
Weekend newspapers are full of Cummings. It is the only story in town and he is at the epicentre of it. I cannot see how he will be able to survive more than a day or two. This is The Sunday Telegraph:
Even Steve Baker of the ERG has called on him to go.

The Downing Street line this morning is that the eye witnesses are wrong or liars and that Cummings never made the second (or third) trips at all. They intend to brazen it out:
The longer Boris Johnson delays making a decision the more it damages him, his judgement and his government. Cummings will have to go and Johnson himself will face questions about how much he knew of Cummings' movements.

I don't know which ministers or Tory MPs will be on Andrew Marr or the other political shows this weekend - I don't watch them anyway - but God help them.

Cummings cannot survive this.

The problem for Johnson is that Cummings was effectively - the government. The PM is in BIG TROUBLE.