Saturday 28 October 2023

Sunak, the Sorcerer's Apprentice

Sunak is starting to look like the sorcerer's apprentice. Struggling to limit the damage he has created by summoning up forces he cannot control and doesn't understand, he is working harder and harder but achieving less and less. He seems to spend all his time rushing hither and thither - usually by private jet, as befits the richest prime minister in British history - making reassuring noises about 'doing the right thing' or denying the government is in crisis as the latest MP to become embroiled in some scandal or other is exposed in the press.

But does anybody actually know what he is doing to even start to address Britain's myriad problems? He can't be waiting for the Sorcerer himself to turn up and wave a magic wand although that is precisely what he seems to be doing.

His latest announcement is about removing the cap on bankers' bonuses, something which he can do apparently without parliamentary approval but which is hardly calculated to help win over the average voter or the struggling foodbank user. And there are many more of those than there are bankers in The City.

As far as I can see, virtually the only issue that the cabinet is really interested in is getting the tiny number of migrants crossing the Channel down by making life as uncomfortable as possible for those who have made it here in the last few years. It has become an obsession, akin to OCD. The Public Accounts Committee has just released a report damning "the Home Office’s failure to process asylum claims efficiently" which has "led to unacceptable costs to the taxpayer." 

Worse, they say, "No credible plan exists to end the use of hotels to accommodate people waiting for a decision."  I don't think credible plans about anything exist anywhere in Whitehall.

The NHS is soon to see a waiting list of eight million, and the Home Office has admitted the immigration visa regime isn't working and they are now thinking of new ways to stop businesses from hiring foreign workers. Is that helping or hindering the economy?  

Since 2010, the Tory party has slid downhill and is still going. All they've done in thirteen years is cut budgets, services, infrastructure spending, farm subsidies, and just about everything else except ministerial perks and salaries.

So, when I read an article in The Guardian by Martin Kettle: Sunak’s shambolic government is achieving nothing. Must Britain really wait 15 months to throw it out? I must say I wholeheartedly agree with it.  Sadly we are going to have to wait a bit longer.

Sunak's problems begin and end with Brexit. This is the uncontrollable force he helped summon up in 2016 and neither he nor anyone else knows how to exploit it, subdue it, or kill it. He can't take advantage of the extra freedom to legislate because of the damage it would do to trade with our greatest trading partner and to the NI border issue which is still like an open, weeping sore for many unionists.

But admitting it would be to admit Brexit itself was a mistake and he can't do that either, it would be curtains for him politically. 

It's alright for the Faragistas to shout from the sidelines about cutting taxes (utterly impossible) and regulations but Sunak isn't entirely stupid - unlike Boris Johnson who is - and he is presumably hearing from financial organisations, FTSE companies, SMEs, lobby groups, trade bodies and everybody who earns a living by exporting that diverging is a thoroughly bad idea. Hence the paralysis.

He can't take things forward and he doesn't have the courage to explain to his Brexit-supporting party why he can't. 

There are no plans to actively diverge as far as I can see despite Sunak boasting last year about scrapping thousands of EU laws. But as the EU legislates and we don't Britain is passively diverging anyway making trade with Europe increasingly difficult and costly and creating a bigger barrier at the Irish Sea border.

It's hard to see what Sunak can do. He is a prisoner of his own party's right wing and their Brexit ideology.

I see GB News has made a big splash about Boris Johnson joining them, no doubt at great expense. Anybody who thinks he has anything of value to say deserves all they are about to get. In any case from what I read of the Covid inquiry, they would be better off employing Carrie. It was she apparently who was running the government when BoJo was PM.