Saturday 11 August 2018

POLL 80 IN WHATUKTHINKS SERIES

The 80th poll in the WhatUKthinks series was published yesterday. There is nothing special to report, it shows a solid 3% lead for WRONG at 45% - 42% so still good news although stubbornly stuck at around this level. See the actual graph and table HERE.


So, the latest figures are:

Total No of polls since August 2016: 80

Polls with RIGHT IN THE LEAD: 28 - (22 in the first 27 polls)
Polls with WRONG IN THE LEAD: 43 - (337 in the last 42 polls)

Even: 9

Last time RIGHT was in the lead: 17th January 2018

Looked at annually:

2016 - (from August) 12 polls in total WRONG =1, RIGHT 11
2017 - 39 in total WRONG = 15, RIGHT = 17
2018 - (to date) 29 in total WRONG = 27, RIGHT = 1

Just a point, Survation have also been running polls and these are also being logged on WhatUKthinks (HERE). There have been 14 such polls beginning in June 2017 asking: Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union, or leave the European Union?  And the results are surprisingly consistent.

Out of 14 polls:

10 - give REMAIN a majority
2 - give LEAVE a majority (but not since September 2017)
2 - are equal

The Brexit tide is ebbing.