95th, 96th, 97th POLLS IN WHATUKTHINKS SERIES

YouGov have published three more polls asking in hindsight if the decision to leave the EU was Right or Wrong. These are the 95th, 96th and 97th.  Confusingly, they have inserted an extra poll from the 11th October so the poll numbering is not quite the same as before. However, all the latest ones show a healthy lead for WRONG. See the up to date chart and table HERE

The last poll was taken on 15th November, the day the Withdrawal Agreement was published. Although there was a lot of press speculation in the days beforehand, I don't believe very many people would have been aware of either the details of the agreement or the subsequent meltdown in the Tory party. The numbers can only improve.

The results of the latest polls are that WRONG is ahead by:

11th October + 5% (6% after don't knows are removed)

5th November + 4% (4%)

15th November +7% (8%)

These are all good solid numbers for remainers like us.

In 2018 there have been 46 polls in total with WRONG ahead in 44 of them. One was even and RIGHT was in front by just 1% on one occasion eleven months ago. I really don't believe they can all be wrong. If the public mood really is different to how these polls indicate, YouGov's reputation would be shredded.

We are now getting towards 100 polls, with WRONG steadily pulling ahead. So far RIGHT has been in front 28 times, the polls were level 9 times and WRONG ahead in 60 polls. All good.

Some more polling evidence (HERE) that Bregret is more widespread in the areas that are most deprived and most strongly vote to leave in 2016. The tide is slowly turning. Let's keep up the pressure.